Michael Pittman’s receiving yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed receivers, Michael Pittman was 10.6 yards over at home and 7.5 yards under away in 2026, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 37.0 and 15.0, a difference of 22.0.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
receiving yards a game over expected
at home
+10.6
away
−7.5
020
plain
37.0
15.0
2040
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | receiving yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | W | 58 | 27.3 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | W | 16 | 25.5 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 15 | 22.5 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed receivers in its other 2026 games, minus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for receivers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s receivers’ receiving yards in his games, 18%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 99% of the difference the model predicts.