Kenny Pickett’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Kenny Pickett was 11.6 yards over at home and 12.3 yards under away in 2026, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 23.5 and 0.0, a difference of 23.5.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
+11.6
away
−12.3
020
plain
23.5
0.0
02040
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | L | 0 | 11.7 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 0 | 12.3 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs TB | L | 47 | 12.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 5%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.