Josh Jacobs’ rushing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed running backs, Josh Jacobs was 52.5 yards under at home and 20.0 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 39.0 and 36.0, a difference of 3.0. Expected was 35.5 yards higher at home than away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
at home
−52.5
away
−20.0
-40-200
plain
39.0
36.0
36373839
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ DET | L | 36 | 56.0 | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | vs CAR | W | 39 | 91.5 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed running backs in its other 2026 games, plus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for running backs that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s running backs’ rushing yards in his games, 72%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.