Jaxson Dart’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Jaxson Dart was 61.7 yards over at home and 121.0 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 230.0 and 20.0, a difference of 210.0.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
+61.7
away
−121.0
-100-50050
plain
230.0
20.0
100200
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs DAL | W | 230 | 168.3 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | @ LA | L | 20 | 141.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 69%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.