Case Keenum’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Case Keenum was 53.8 yards over at home and 67.6 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 247.0 and 108.0, a difference of 139.0.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
+53.8
away
−67.6
-50050
plain
247.0
108.0
150200
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 247 | 193.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | L | 108 | 175.6 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 80%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.