Carson Wentz’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Carson Wentz was 81.1 yards under at home and 83.6 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 133.0 and 143.0, a difference of 10.0. Expected was 12.5 yards lower at home than away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
−81.1
away
−83.6
-500
plain
133.0
143.0
135140
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 133 | 214.1 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 143 | 226.6 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 94%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.