Breece Hall’s rushing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed running backs, Breece Hall was 45.1 yards under at home and 4.1 yards over away in 2026, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 29.0 and 67.0, a difference of 38.0.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
at home
−45.1
away
+4.1
-40-20020
plain
29.0
67.0
406080100
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ TEN | W | 102 | 68.0 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs GB | L | 29 | 74.1 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ DET | L | 32 | 57.7 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed running backs in its other 2026 games, plus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for running backs that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s running backs’ rushing yards in his games, 73%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.