Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Brandon McManus’ field goals at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed kickers, Brandon McManus was 1.0 field goals under at home and 1.7 field goals under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 1.0 and 0.0, a difference of 1.0.

One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

field goals a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Brandon McManus’ games, 2026, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultfield goalsExpected
Oct 25, 2026@LVW01.7
Nov 1, 2026vsLACW12.0

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed kickers in its other 2026 games, minus 0.1 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for kickers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s kickers’ field goals in his games, 100%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 93% of the difference the model predicts.