Brandin Cooks’ receiving yards at home and away
, ,
Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed receivers, Brandin Cooks was 3.1 yards under at home and 1.7 yards over away in 2026, 2 games against 2. The plain averages are 6.5 and 10.0, a difference of 3.5.
2 games at home is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
receiving yards a game over expected
at home
−3.1
away
+1.7
-50
A −4.8 difference in receiving yards over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
plain
6.5
10.0
0510
A −3.5 difference in receiving yards at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | receiving yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 0 | 9.0 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ SEA | W | 7 | 6.3 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | vs WAS | W | 13 | 10.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ ATL | L | 13 | 10.4 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed receivers in its other 2026 games, minus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for receivers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s receivers’ receiving yards in his games, 7%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 99% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.