Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Raptors @ Nuggets

Wed, Nov 4 · Ball Arena

The line has it Nuggets 118, Raptors 114.Nuggets −4.5, total 231.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. DraftKings’ line, from ESPN’s scoreboard.

Raptors at Nuggets: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameRaptors7 gamesNuggets6 games
+5.4−1.4
−1.5+0.9
0.0−1.6
+2.30.0
−2.0−0.9
+4.5+2.6
−1.7−0.4
+4.3+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

  • The Nuggets lead the series 38–22 since 1995-96. The Nuggets have won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Nuggets have won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →
  • At home, the Nuggets’ points allowed are 16.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Mar 20, 2026at NuggetsNuggets 121, Raptors 115
Dec 31, 2025at RaptorsNuggets 106, Raptors 103
Nov 4, 2024at NuggetsNuggets 121, Raptors 119
Oct 28, 2024at RaptorsNuggets 127, Raptors 125
Mar 11, 2024at NuggetsNuggets 125, Raptors 119
Dec 20, 2023at RaptorsNuggets 113, Raptors 104
Mar 14, 2023at RaptorsRaptors 125, Nuggets 110
Mar 6, 2023at NuggetsNuggets 118, Raptors 113
Mar 12, 2022at NuggetsRaptors 127, Nuggets 115
Feb 12, 2022at RaptorsNuggets 110, Raptors 109

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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