Xavier’s assists at home and away
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Xavier was NaN assists over at home and 2.2 assists under away over its last 60 games, 30 games against 23. The plain averages are 20.6 and 13.4, a difference of 7.2.
Xavier’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
assists a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−2.2
A NaN difference in assists over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
20.6
13.4
102030
A +7.2 difference in assists at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | assists | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | @ TCU | L | 20 | 16.8 | |
| Dec 10, 2024 | vs Morgan State | W | 25 | 20.2 | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | @ Cincinnati | L | 13 | 14.0 | |
| Dec 18, 2024 | @ UConn | L | 9 | 12.3 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs Marquette | L | 16 | 17.5 | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | vs Seton Hall | W | 20 | 17.0 | |
| Jan 3, 2025 | @ Georgetown | L | 8 | 16.0 | |
| Jan 7, 2025 | vs St. John's | L | 19 | 15.8 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ DePaul | W | 15 | 17.0 | |
| Jan 14, 2025 | vs Villanova | W | 16 | 17.2 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | @Marquette | W | 12 | 16.5 | |
| Jan 22, 2025 | @St. John's | L | 20 | 14.5 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vsUConn | W | 14 | 13.2 | |
| Jan 29, 2025 | @ Creighton | L | 11 | 13.7 | |
| Feb 4, 2025 | vsGeorgetown | W | 18 | 16.7 | |
| Feb 9, 2025 | @Villanova | L | 14 | 16.1 | |
| Feb 12, 2025 | @ Providence | W | 17 | 14.3 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | vsDePaul | W | 19 | 18.0 | |
| Feb 18, 2025 | vs Butler | W | 21 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 23, 2025 | @Seton Hall | W | 14 | 16.2 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vsCreighton | W | 24 | 14.2 | |
| Mar 5, 2025 | @Butler | W | 15 | 15.6 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsProvidence | W | 22 | 15.2 | |
| Mar 13, 2025 | vsMarquette (neutral) | L | 16 | 16.9 | |
| Mar 19, 2025 | vs Texas (neutral) | W | 17 | 15.0 | |
| Mar 21, 2025 | vs Illinois (neutral) | L | 9 | 15.1 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Marist | W | 13 | 16.6 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Le Moyne | W | 20 | 19.9 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vs Santa Clara | L | 17 | 19.1 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | @ Iowa | L | 9 | 14.8 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Old Dominion | W | 29 | 19.1 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | vs Georgia (neutral) | L | 10 | 17.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs West Virginia (neutral) | W | 19 | 16.0 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | W | 26 | 16.2 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs Saint Francis | W | 23 | 21.4 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vsCincinnati | W | 19 | 17.2 | |
| Dec 12, 2025 | vs Missouri State | W | 23 | 17.8 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vsCreighton | L | 16 | 17.7 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @Georgetown | W | 18 | 16.3 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vsUConn | L | 18 | 13.9 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @DePaul | L | 19 | 16.2 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @Marquette | L | 11 | 18.3 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vsProvidence | W | 23 | 19.1 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vsButler | W | 30 | 18.3 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | @Creighton | L | 18 | 16.4 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vsSt. John's | L | 20 | 14.8 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Seton Hall | L | 12 | 15.0 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsDePaul | W | 14 | 17.7 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @UConn | L | 6 | 13.4 | |
| Feb 9, 2026 | @St. John's | L | 11 | 14.1 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | vsMarquette | W | 24 | 18.7 | |
| Feb 17, 2026 | vsVillanova | L | 26 | 16.7 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @Butler | L | 13 | 18.1 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @Providence | L | 6 | 18.9 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsGeorgetown | W | 17 | 17.5 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vsSeton Hall | L | 20 | 15.7 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @Villanova | L | 18 | 16.0 | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vsMarquette (neutral) | W | 21 | 18.3 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsUConn (neutral) | L | 6 | 14.0 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Mount St. Mary's | W | 26 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 in 2024-25, plus 0.6 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 88% in 2024-25, 88% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.