Wright State’s 3-pointers made at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Wright State was 2.3 3-pointers made under at home and 1.4 3-pointers made over away in 2025-26, 14 games against 14. The plain averages are 5.6 and 8.6, a difference of 3.0.
Wright State’s −3.7 at home vs away over expected ranks 365th of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26.
3-pointers made a game over expected
at home
−2.3
away
+1.4
-505
A −3.7 difference in 3-pointers made over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
5.6
8.6
510
A −3.0 difference in 3-pointers made at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-pointers made | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | vsFFranklin | W | 7 | — | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | @ California | L | 9 | 6.4 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Toledo | L | 6 | 7.7 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Radford (neutral) | W | 13 | 7.4 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Kent State (neutral) | L | 6 | 8.3 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vsOOhio Wesleyan | W | 7 | — | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | @ Stetson | W | 14 | 7.0 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Butler | L | 7 | 6.7 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @ Youngstown State | L | 3 | 6.3 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs Green Bay | W | 6 | 7.6 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Marshall | L | 12 | 7.1 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Miami (OH) | L | 3 | 7.5 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | vs Eastern Michigan | W | 4 | 6.4 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Oakland | W | 9 | 8.0 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vs Milwaukee | W | 5 | 7.4 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ IU Indianapolis | W | 9 | 7.0 | |
| Jan 9, 2026 | @ Detroit Mercy | W | 7 | 7.4 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | @Oakland | W | 9 | 7.9 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsYoungstown State | W | 5 | 6.4 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | vs Cleveland State | L | 5 | 9.1 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Northern Kentucky | W | 5 | 7.4 | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | @Milwaukee | W | 7 | 7.1 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | @Green Bay | W | 8 | 7.3 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Robert Morris | L | 5 | 6.0 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vs Purdue Fort Wayne | W | 7 | 8.8 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | vsDetroit Mercy | L | 7 | 7.5 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | @Cleveland State | W | 12 | 8.5 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | vsIU Indianapolis | W | 4 | 7.5 | |
| Feb 22, 2026 | vsRobert Morris | L | 5 | 6.1 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @Purdue Fort Wayne | W | 9 | 8.5 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Northern Kentucky | W | 9 | 7.0 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vsCleveland State | W | 4 | 9.2 | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | vsNorthern Kentucky (neutral) | W | 9 | 7.1 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vsDetroit Mercy (neutral) | W | 4 | 7.6 | |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Virginia (neutral) | L | 13 | 5.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 85% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Franklin, Ohio Wesleyan have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.