Putting Up Numbers· men's college basketball

Presbyterian’s free throw attempts at home and away

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Presbyterian was 6.3 free throw attempts over at home and 2.5 free throw attempts under away in 2025-26, 11 games against 16. The plain averages are 28.1 and 18.0, a difference of 10.1.

Presbyterian’s +8.8 at home vs away over expected ranks 3rd of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26.

free throw attempts a game over expected

A +8.8 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

A +10.1 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

The games

at homeaway
Presbyterian’s games, 2025-26, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultfree throw attemptsExpected
Nov 3, 2025vsNavyL2218.1
Nov 5, 2025vsBBluefieldW36—
Nov 8, 2025vsEast Tennessee StateW2620.3
Nov 10, 2025@Georgia StateW1920.3
Nov 12, 2025@South CarolinaL2018.1
Nov 16, 2025@Sacramento StateL2121.7
Nov 18, 2025@CaliforniaL1221.0
Nov 21, 2025@UCLAL1517.9
Nov 26, 2025vsCColumbia InternationalW22—
Nov 30, 2025vsThe Citadel (neutral)W919.9
Dec 3, 2025@WoffordL1620.6
Dec 6, 2025vsMorehead StateW3021.9
Dec 17, 2025@East CarolinaL1418.7
Dec 21, 2025@ManhattanL1118.3
Dec 28, 2025vsTTruett McConnellW25—
Jan 3, 2026vsSouth Carolina UpstateW4320.5
Jan 7, 2026@RadfordL1822.4
Jan 10, 2026@LongwoodL1622.7
Jan 14, 2026vsUNC AshevilleW2721.6
Jan 17, 2026@Gardner-WebbW2219.5
Jan 21, 2026vsCharleston SouthernW3626.2
Jan 24, 2026vsWinthropL2522.9
Jan 29, 2026@High PointL2419.5
Jan 31, 2026vsRadfordL2123.8
Feb 7, 2026vsGardner-WebbW2321.0
Feb 12, 2026@Charleston SouthernL2825.1
Feb 14, 2026@UNC AshevilleW1220.9
Feb 19, 2026vsLongwoodW2623.7
Feb 21, 2026@South Carolina UpstateL1320.6
Feb 26, 2026vsHigh PointL3120.7
Feb 28, 2026@WinthropL2721.3
Mar 6, 2026vsRadford (neutral)W1623.3
Mar 7, 2026vsWinthrop (neutral)L1822.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 80% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Bluefield, Columbia International, Truett McConnell have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.