Lipscomb’s assists in a conference game and in a nonconference game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Lipscomb was 1.0 assists under in a conference game and NaN assists over in a nonconference game over its last 60 games, 40 games against 16. The plain averages are 15.4 and 18.3, a difference of 2.9.
Lipscomb’s NaN in a conference game vs in a nonconference game over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
assists a game over expected
in a conference game
−1.0
in a nonconference game
NaN
A NaN difference in assists over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is rare: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
15.4
18.3
102030
A −2.9 difference in assists in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 15 times in 100.
The games
in a conference gamein a nonconference game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | assists | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W | 21 | 11.9 | |
| Dec 16, 2024 | vsTTruett McConnell | W | 21 | — | |
| Dec 19, 2024 | @ Middle Tennessee | L | 12 | 13.4 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vsAAsbury | W | 26 | — | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | @ Jacksonville | W | 10 | 12.8 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | @ North Florida | W | 23 | 16.7 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs Queens University | L | 13 | 14.2 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs West Georgia | W | 15 | 16.4 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | @ Bellarmine | W | 19 | 15.4 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vs Austin Peay | W | 20 | 14.0 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | @ North Alabama | L | 10 | 13.3 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | @ Central Arkansas | W | 10 | 17.3 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | vs Eastern Kentucky | L | 10 | 15.0 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vsBellarmine | W | 15 | 16.9 | |
| Feb 5, 2025 | @West Georgia | W | 15 | 15.2 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | @Queens University | W | 15 | 12.8 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | vs Stetson | W | 21 | 17.0 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | vs Florida Gulf Coast | W | 6 | 14.1 | |
| Feb 18, 2025 | @Eastern Kentucky | L | 11 | 13.8 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | vsNorth Alabama | W | 10 | 14.5 | |
| Feb 24, 2025 | @Austin Peay | W | 18 | 13.0 | |
| Feb 26, 2025 | vsCentral Arkansas | W | 19 | 18.0 | |
| Mar 3, 2025 | vsCentral Arkansas | W | 16 | 18.2 | |
| Mar 6, 2025 | vsQueens University | W | 11 | 14.3 | |
| Mar 9, 2025 | vsNorth Alabama | W | 8 | 14.6 | |
| Mar 21, 2025 | vs Iowa State (neutral) | L | 16 | 12.1 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Vanderbilt | L | 8 | 12.7 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Mercer | L | 23 | 14.9 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | @ UNC Asheville | L | 14 | 15.6 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vsBBryan | W | 23 | — | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | @ Belmont | L | 16 | 15.4 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Western Carolina | W | 23 | 16.0 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Marshall | W | 19 | 15.2 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Southeast Missouri State | W | 20 | 13.4 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Tennessee Tech | W | 20 | 18.2 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs Alabama A&M | W | 24 | 18.7 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | @ Duke | L | 14 | 12.5 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vsBBlue Mountain Christian | W | 36 | — | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Cincinnati | L | 16 | 14.2 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vsJacksonville | W | 15 | 16.3 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsNorth Florida | W | 17 | 20.0 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @Stetson | L | 15 | 17.9 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Florida Gulf Coast | W | 20 | 16.1 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsBellarmine | W | 24 | 20.2 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsAustin Peay | W | 8 | 17.7 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vsStetson | W | 14 | 19.2 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | vsFlorida Gulf Coast | W | 20 | 17.2 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @Jacksonville | L | 16 | 15.1 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @North Florida | W | 21 | 18.6 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @Austin Peay | L | 13 | 16.2 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsCentral Arkansas | L | 20 | 19.2 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | vsEastern Kentucky | W | 20 | 18.7 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Queens University | L | 12 | 16.3 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @Bellarmine | W | 21 | 19.2 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsNorth Alabama | W | 18 | 18.6 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @West Georgia | L | 14 | 16.6 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Eastern Kentucky | W | 21 | 17.5 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsFlorida Gulf Coast (neutral) | L | 11 | 17.2 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @Southeast Missouri State | L | 9 | NaN | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | @ Iowa | L | 5 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 in 2024-25, plus 0.6 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 88% in 2024-25, 88% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Truett McConnell, Asbury, Bryan, Blue Mountain Christian have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.