Kent State’s rebounds at home and away
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kent State was 4.5 rebounds under at home and NaN rebounds over away over its last 60 games, 25 games against 26. The plain averages are 32.3 and 38.7, a difference of 6.4.
Kent State’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
rebounds a game over expected
at home
−4.5
away
NaN
A NaN difference in rebounds over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
32.3
38.7
304050
A −6.4 difference in rebounds at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rebounds | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | vsHHeidelberg | W | 32 | — | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs Ball State | L | 24 | 35.9 | |
| Jan 7, 2025 | @ Northern Illinois | W | 47 | 39.0 | |
| Jan 10, 2025 | @ Buffalo | W | 42 | 36.3 | |
| Jan 14, 2025 | vs Western Michigan | L | 25 | 35.4 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vs Miami (OH) | L | 24 | 34.3 | |
| Jan 21, 2025 | @ Toledo | W | 26 | 34.1 | |
| Jan 24, 2025 | @ Ohio | L | 42 | 33.9 | |
| Jan 28, 2025 | vs Bowling Green | W | 28 | 35.1 | |
| Jan 31, 2025 | vs Akron | L | 29 | 33.8 | |
| Feb 4, 2025 | @ Eastern Michigan | W | 43 | 33.4 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vs Arkansas State | W | 29 | 35.7 | |
| Feb 11, 2025 | vs Central Michigan | W | 28 | 33.1 | |
| Feb 14, 2025 | vsOhio | W | 33 | 35.1 | |
| Feb 18, 2025 | @Bowling Green | W | 31 | 34.2 | |
| Feb 21, 2025 | @Miami (OH) | L | 37 | 32.8 | |
| Feb 25, 2025 | vsToledo | W | 38 | 34.2 | |
| Feb 28, 2025 | @Akron | L | 31 | 33.0 | |
| Mar 4, 2025 | @Western Michigan | W | 46 | 33.5 | |
| Mar 7, 2025 | vsEastern Michigan | W | 29 | 34.9 | |
| Mar 13, 2025 | vsWestern Michigan (neutral) | W | 33 | 34.6 | |
| Mar 14, 2025 | vsMiami (OH) (neutral) | L | 38 | 33.1 | |
| Mar 18, 2025 | @ St. Bonaventure | W | 45 | 31.0 | |
| Mar 23, 2025 | @ Stanford | W | 40 | 29.2 | |
| Mar 26, 2025 | @ Loyola Chicago | L | 32 | 31.3 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Troy | L | 44 | 34.3 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vs Cornell | W | 27 | 34.7 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vs UNC Wilmington | W | 36 | 33.5 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Cleveland State (neutral) | W | 28 | 38.2 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Wright State (neutral) | W | 41 | 32.7 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W | 36 | 36.3 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vsCleveland State | W | 39 | 37.9 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsPPenn State Shenango | W | 55 | — | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Austin Peay | W | 26 | 37.4 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsRRoberts Wesleyan | W | 46 | — | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Portland | L | 32 | 33.1 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Massachusetts | W | 37 | 32.7 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Purdue | L | 27 | 27.7 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsNorthern Illinois | W | 24 | 36.0 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | vsBowling Green | W | 22 | 36.1 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Central Michigan | L | 47 | 34.6 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | @Buffalo | W | 44 | 33.9 | |
| Jan 16, 2026 | vsToledo | W | 36 | 36.2 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | vsMiami (OH) | L | 37 | 35.2 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Eastern Michigan | W | 41 | 35.2 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | vsOhio | W | 46 | 36.1 | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | @Akron | L | 48 | 32.0 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @Toledo | W | 43 | 35.1 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | @ Southern Miss | L | 32 | 33.4 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | vsEastern Michigan | W | 25 | 36.8 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Ball State | W | 40 | 36.1 | |
| Feb 17, 2026 | @Bowling Green | W | 38 | 34.5 | |
| Feb 24, 2026 | vsCentral Michigan | W | 30 | 36.4 | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vsAkron | L | 25 | 34.0 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @Northern Illinois | W | 36 | 34.6 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsWestern Michigan | W | 31 | 35.7 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsOhio (neutral) | W | 29 | 36.7 | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vsAkron (neutral) | L | 42 | 32.7 | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | @ Illinois State | L | 40 | 32.8 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @ Louisiana Tech | L | 40 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.4 in 2024-25, plus 0.4 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 86% in 2024-25, 87% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Heidelberg, Penn State Shenango, Roberts Wesleyan have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.