Holy Cross’ 3-point attempts at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Holy Cross was 2.3 3-point attempts under at home and NaN 3-point attempts over away over its last 60 games, 23 games against 33. The plain averages are 20.5 and 23.2, a difference of 2.8.
Holy Cross’ NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
3-point attempts a game over expected
at home
−2.3
away
NaN
A NaN difference in 3-point attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
20.5
23.2
102030
A −2.8 difference in 3-point attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-point attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | @ Maine | L | 20 | 21.6 | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | @ Virginia | L | 22 | 23.3 | |
| Dec 4, 2024 | vs Harvard | W | 18 | 22.2 | |
| Dec 7, 2024 | vs Central Connecticut | L | 21 | 26.8 | |
| Dec 17, 2024 | @ Quinnipiac | W | 29 | 24.4 | |
| Dec 20, 2024 | @ Siena | W | 29 | 20.6 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vsRRegis College | W | 25 | — | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Loyola Maryland | W | 23 | 21.8 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ American University | L | 25 | 20.2 | |
| Jan 8, 2025 | vs Navy | W | 20 | 24.2 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ Lafayette | L | 22 | 22.9 | |
| Jan 15, 2025 | @ Bucknell | L | 26 | 25.4 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vsAmerican University | L | 20 | 20.7 | |
| Jan 22, 2025 | vs Army | L | 24 | 26.4 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | @Loyola Maryland | W | 28 | 21.2 | |
| Jan 27, 2025 | @ Boston University | L | 20 | 23.0 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vs Lehigh | L | 15 | 23.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2025 | @Army | L | 27 | 26.0 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vsBoston University | W | 18 | 23.3 | |
| Feb 12, 2025 | vs Colgate | L | 25 | 24.7 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @Lehigh | L | 27 | 22.0 | |
| Feb 19, 2025 | vsLafayette | W | 33 | 22.4 | |
| Feb 23, 2025 | @Navy | L | 24 | 23.7 | |
| Feb 26, 2025 | @Colgate | L | 23 | 24.6 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vsBucknell | L | 23 | 25.8 | |
| Mar 4, 2025 | @Lafayette | L | 23 | 22.9 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Providence | L | 33 | 22.1 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ BYU | L | 22 | 22.5 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | @ Utah | L | 26 | 18.6 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Hampton (neutral) | W | 17 | 17.3 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | @ Brown | L | 25 | 20.6 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ Sacred Heart | L | 26 | 25.4 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vsSiena | L | 19 | 21.0 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vsWWorcester State | W | 26 | — | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Northeastern | W | 16 | 18.7 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Fordham | W | 27 | 21.1 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vsRRegis College | W | 24 | — | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Dartmouth | L | 20 | 21.6 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @Harvard | L | 30 | 18.3 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vsBucknell | W | 9 | 23.6 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsNavy | L | 24 | 23.7 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @Lehigh | L | 13 | 17.9 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @American University | W | 16 | 17.5 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vsArmy | W | 22 | 21.0 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @Lafayette | L | 20 | 19.6 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | @Navy | L | 19 | 23.9 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vsAmerican University | L | 20 | 17.3 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Colgate | L | 21 | 21.7 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @Army | L | 18 | 21.2 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | vsBoston University | L | 21 | 21.2 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsLehigh | W | 12 | 18.1 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | vsColgate | L | 24 | 21.6 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | @Loyola Maryland | L | 21 | 21.2 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | vsLafayette | L | 15 | 20.1 | |
| Feb 22, 2026 | @Bucknell | W | 19 | 22.9 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @Boston University | L | 23 | 20.9 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsLoyola Maryland | L | 15 | 21.7 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @Lafayette | W | 24 | 19.4 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @Lehigh | L | 16 | 17.7 | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | @ Rhode Island | L | 23 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 in 2024-25, plus 0.1 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 91% in 2024-25, 92% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Regis College, Worcester State, Regis College have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.