Florida Atlantic’s 3-pointers made at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida Atlantic was 1.3 3-pointers made over at home and 1.4 3-pointers made under away over its last 60 games, 26 games against 24. The plain averages are 9.3 and 6.6, a difference of 2.7.
Florida Atlantic’s +2.7 at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
3-pointers made a game over expected
at home
+1.3
away
−1.4
-505
A +2.7 difference in 3-pointers made over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
9.3
6.6
51015
A +2.7 difference in 3-pointers made at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-pointers made | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Florida Gulf Coast | L | 17 | 9.0 | |
| Dec 4, 2024 | @ Florida International | W | 7 | 8.1 | |
| Dec 10, 2024 | vs Jacksonville | W | 8 | 7.9 | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | vs Texas State | W | 7 | 8.7 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | @ Michigan State | L | 4 | 7.3 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Memphis | L | 5 | 9.3 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ East Carolina | W | 10 | 8.9 | |
| Jan 8, 2025 | @ Charlotte | W | 6 | 7.9 | |
| Jan 12, 2025 | vs UAB | L | 8 | 8.8 | |
| Jan 15, 2025 | @ Tulane | L | 6 | 9.4 | |
| Jan 19, 2025 | vs Rice | W | 6 | 8.7 | |
| Jan 26, 2025 | @ North Texas | L | 7 | 7.2 | |
| Jan 29, 2025 | vs UTSA | W | 14 | 8.6 | |
| Feb 2, 2025 | vs South Florida | W | 10 | 8.7 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | @ Tulsa | W | 12 | 8.0 | |
| Feb 10, 2025 | vsCharlotte | W | 12 | 7.8 | |
| Feb 16, 2025 | @ Temple | W | 5 | 8.6 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | vs Wichita State | L | 10 | 8.7 | |
| Feb 23, 2025 | @Memphis | L | 8 | 8.9 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | vsNorth Texas | L | 7 | 7.4 | |
| Mar 2, 2025 | @South Florida | W | 9 | 8.5 | |
| Mar 6, 2025 | @UAB | L | 7 | 8.7 | |
| Mar 9, 2025 | vsEast Carolina | W | 10 | 9.1 | |
| Mar 13, 2025 | vsCharlotte (neutral) | W | 2 | 8.2 | |
| Mar 14, 2025 | vsTulane (neutral) | L | 9 | 9.4 | |
| Mar 19, 2025 | vs Dayton (neutral) | L | 9 | 8.2 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Boston College | W | 12 | 6.6 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Charleston (neutral) | W | 11 | 8.5 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Liberty | L | 3 | 8.4 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vsCCoastal Georgia | W | 9 | — | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vs Pacific | W | 11 | 7.5 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Loyola Marymount (neutral) | W | 10 | 6.8 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vs George Mason (neutral) | L | 6 | 7.4 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs St. Bonaventure | L | 8 | 8.3 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @Florida Gulf Coast | W | 6 | 8.6 | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | vsSSaint Leo | W | 12 | — | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs UAlbany | W | 16 | 7.9 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @ Saint Mary's | L | 7 | 6.2 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | @ UCF | L | 9 | 7.3 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vsUTSA | W | 18 | 9.2 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @Tulane | L | 5 | 8.7 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @UAB | W | 9 | 7.7 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vsMemphis | W | 8 | 7.9 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsWichita State | W | 7 | 6.4 | |
| Jan 18, 2026 | @Temple | W | 3 | 7.0 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | vsTulane | W | 8 | 8.7 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @South Florida | L | 7 | 8.1 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @Memphis | L | 6 | 7.9 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | vsEast Carolina | L | 9 | 8.3 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | vsTulsa | L | 7 | 8.3 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | @Rice | L | 3 | 7.7 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | vsSouth Florida | L | 8 | 8.2 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @UTSA | W | 4 | 9.9 | |
| Feb 22, 2026 | @North Texas | L | 9 | 6.2 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsTemple | W | 7 | 6.9 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vsCharlotte | W | 6 | 8.3 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @Wichita State | L | 6 | 6.3 | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vsTemple (neutral) | W | 6 | 6.9 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsNorth Texas (neutral) | L | 3 | 6.6 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Long Island University | W | 1 | 1.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 in 2024-25, plus 0.1 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 82% in 2024-25, 85% in 2025-26, 100% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Coastal Georgia, Saint Leo have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.