
Eastern Washington’s rebounds at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Washington was 4.0 rebounds under at home and 2.3 rebounds over away in 2025-26, 11 games against 18. The plain averages are 27.9 and 31.4, a difference of 3.5. Both ranked opponents were away.
Eastern Washington’s −6.3 at home vs away over expected ranks 363rd of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26.
rebounds a game over expected
at home
−4.0
away
+2.3
010
A −6.3 difference in rebounds over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
27.9
31.4
203040
A −3.5 difference in rebounds at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 12 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rebounds | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ | L | 29 | 26.1 | |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @ | L | 30 | 30.8 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ | L | 27 | 27.2 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ | L | 26 | 31.1 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vsEEastern Oregon | W | 39 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ | L | 37 | 30.8 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | @ | L | 38 | 28.0 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @ | L | 25 | 30.7 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs | W | 33 | 35.7 | |
| Dec 12, 2025 | vs | L | 21 | 28.9 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs | L | 19 | 27.5 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ | L | 29 | 27.1 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | @ | L | 29 | 26.6 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ | L | 41 | 28.5 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs | L | 29 | 30.4 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs | W | 26 | 30.9 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | @ | L | 28 | 29.1 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ | W | 28 | 26.9 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs | L | 27 | 29.7 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs | W | 30 | 35.5 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ | L | 31 | 30.8 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ | L | 32 | 28.8 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @ | W | 32 | 29.9 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | @ | W | 36 | 29.3 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | vs | W | 20 | 28.1 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | vs | W | 28 | 29.8 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | @ | W | 33 | 34.6 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @ | W | 35 | 28.5 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs | W | 26 | 29.8 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs | W | 31 | 31.5 | |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs | L | 25 | 30.2 | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | vs | W | 29 | 29.3 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs | L | 33 | 29.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.4 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 87% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Eastern Oregon has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.