Columbia’s free throw attempts at home and away
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Through Columbia’s game on Mar 6, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Columbia was 3.0 free throw attempts under at home and 2.4 free throw attempts over away over its last 60 games, 28 games against 28. The plain averages are 16.0 and 19.1, a difference of 3.1.
Columbia’s −5.5 at home vs away over expected ranks 363rd of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games through Mar 6, 2026.
free throw attempts a game over expected
at home
−3.0
away
+2.4
-10010
A −5.5 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
16.0
19.1
102030
A −3.1 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 9 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | free throw attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | vs Brown | L | 15 | 19.4 | |
| Feb 24, 2024 | vs Yale | L | 25 | 16.2 | |
| Mar 1, 2024 | @ Princeton | L | 9 | 13.8 | |
| Mar 2, 2024 | @ Pennsylvania | L | 25 | 14.3 | |
| Mar 9, 2024 | vs Cornell | L | 18 | 19.6 | |
| Nov 4, 2024 | @ Loyola Maryland | W | 30 | 16.3 | |
| Nov 6, 2024 | @ Villanova | W | 26 | 15.5 | |
| Nov 9, 2024 | vs Delaware State | W | 22 | 22.1 | |
| Nov 12, 2024 | vs Lehigh | W | 21 | 20.8 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Mercyhurst | W | 13 | 21.9 | |
| Nov 20, 2024 | @ Long Island University | W | 23 | 21.6 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Stony Brook | W | 8 | 18.0 | |
| Nov 25, 2024 | vs New Hampshire | W | 11 | 21.3 | |
| Dec 4, 2024 | @ UAlbany | L | 26 | 18.6 | |
| Dec 7, 2024 | vsMMerchant Marine | W | 11 | — | |
| Dec 9, 2024 | vsSSarah Lawrence | W | 21 | — | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs Fairfield | W | 17 | 19.4 | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | @ Rutgers | L | 6 | 16.5 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vsCornell | L | 9 | 20.8 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vsYale | L | 21 | 17.9 | |
| Jan 20, 2025 | @Princeton | L | 17 | 17.2 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | @Pennsylvania | L | 19 | 15.7 | |
| Jan 31, 2025 | vs Harvard | L | 19 | 16.1 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vs Dartmouth | L | 23 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vsBrown | W | 22 | 18.9 | |
| Feb 14, 2025 | @Dartmouth | L | 10 | 15.8 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @Harvard | L | 7 | 15.5 | |
| Feb 21, 2025 | @Brown | L | 25 | 17.2 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | @Yale | L | 16 | 16.7 | |
| Feb 28, 2025 | vsPrinceton | L | 17 | 18.7 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vsPennsylvania | L | 18 | 17.2 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | @Cornell | L | 22 | 18.5 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ New Haven | W | 14 | 14.5 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | @ UConn | L | 20 | 17.3 | |
| Nov 13, 2025 | vs UMass Lowell | W | 26 | 17.0 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Boston University | W | 9 | 18.5 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @Lehigh | W | 19 | 18.0 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Longwood | W | 12 | 21.8 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @Fairfield | W | 16 | 16.5 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsSSarah Lawrence | W | 17 | — | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Hofstra | W | 16 | 18.6 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsUAlbany | W | 19 | 19.3 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @Stony Brook | L | 19 | 17.5 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ California | L | 12 | 18.3 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ North Florida | W | 21 | 17.8 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vsPPenn State Abington | W | 19 | — | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | @Cornell | W | 33 | 18.9 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vsHarvard | L | 11 | 15.3 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @Brown | L | 21 | 18.4 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @Yale | L | 25 | 13.2 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Dartmouth | W | 29 | 16.4 | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | vsPennsylvania | W | 6 | 17.3 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsPrinceton | L | 17 | 18.7 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsCornell | L | 17 | 21.6 | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | @Pennsylvania | L | 13 | 15.2 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Princeton | W | 20 | 17.0 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsDartmouth | L | 9 | 19.4 | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vsBrown | W | 14 | 20.4 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsYale | L | 9 | 15.8 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @Harvard | L | 11 | 13.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.0 in 2023-24, plus 0.9 in 2024-25, plus 0.9 in 2025-26 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 80% in 2023-24, 79% in 2024-25, 80% in 2025-26 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Merchant Marine, Sarah Lawrence, Sarah Lawrence, Penn State Abington have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.