Bethune-Cookman’s turnovers at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Bethune-Cookman was 1.7 turnovers under at home and 1.8 turnovers over away in 2025-26, 10 games against 18. The plain averages are 11.1 and 14.5, a difference of 3.4. All 3 ranked opponents were away. All 3 games without Seneca Willoughby were away.
Bethune-Cookman’s −3.5 at home vs away over expected ranks 365th of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26.
turnovers a game over expected
at home
−1.7
away
+1.8
-505
A −3.5 difference in turnovers over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
11.1
14.5
101520
A −3.4 difference in turnovers at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | turnovers | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Auburn | L | 12 | 13.2 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | @ Miami | L | 11 | 13.5 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vsCCoastal Georgia | W | 15 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Dayton | L | 10 | 14.7 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | @ Ohio | W | 7 | 12.3 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Jacksonville (neutral) | L | 9 | 10.8 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vs Stony Brook (neutral) | L | 11 | 11.5 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Indiana | L | 11 | 11.9 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vs South Carolina State | W | 7 | 12.4 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Missouri | L | 14 | 12.7 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | @ Saint Louis | L | 12 | 11.9 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | @ Arizona | L | 21 | 13.0 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Oklahoma State | L | 18 | 12.9 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Florida A&M | W | 6 | 13.3 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs Grambling | W | 17 | 13.0 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | vs Southern | L | 16 | 12.9 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Mississippi Valley State | W | 14 | 12.3 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W | 17 | 12.1 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Jackson State | W | 11 | 11.9 | |
| Jan 26, 2026 | vs Alcorn State | W | 11 | 12.3 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Alabama State | W | 17 | 12.7 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ Alabama A&M | W | 12 | 11.2 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vs Prairie View A&M | W | 12 | 13.0 | |
| Feb 9, 2026 | vs Texas Southern | W | 10 | 11.5 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Alcorn State | L | 22 | 12.1 | |
| Feb 16, 2026 | @Jackson State | L | 13 | 12.3 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | vsAlabama State | W | 7 | 12.8 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsAlabama A&M | W | 10 | 10.8 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @Grambling | W | 19 | 13.4 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Southern | W | 15 | 13.4 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @Florida A&M | L | 16 | 13.2 | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vsPrairie View A&M (neutral) | L | 12 | 13.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 81% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Coastal Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.