Putting Up Numbers· men's college basketball

Baylor’s free throw attempts at home and away

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Baylor was NaN free throw attempts over at home and 3.0 free throw attempts under away over its last 60 games, 27 games against 20. The plain averages are 24.1 and 15.5, a difference of 8.7.

Baylor’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.

free throw attempts a game over expected

A NaN difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

A +8.7 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

The games

at homeaway
Baylor’s games, last 60 games, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultfree throw attemptsExpected
Dec 27, 2024vsAArlington BaptistW17—
Dec 31, 2024vsUtahW1821.1
Jan 4, 2025@Iowa StateL1416.7
Jan 7, 2025vsCincinnatiW1115.9
Jan 11, 2025@Arizona StateW2118.1
Jan 14, 2025@ArizonaL1318.3
Jan 19, 2025vsTCUL1817.4
Jan 22, 2025vsKansas StateW2117.5
Jan 25, 2025@UtahW2019.5
Jan 28, 2025@BYUL2416.5
Feb 1, 2025vsKansasW2817.1
Feb 4, 2025@Texas TechL2017.9
Feb 8, 2025vsUCFW2220.4
Feb 10, 2025@HoustonL1616.9
Feb 15, 2025vsWest VirginiaW3218.0
Feb 17, 2025vsArizonaL2519.2
Feb 22, 2025@ColoradoL1719.5
Feb 25, 2025@CincinnatiL514.7
Mar 1, 2025vsOklahoma StateW3420.8
Mar 4, 2025@TCUW1416.1
Mar 8, 2025vsHoustonL1618.3
Mar 12, 2025vsKansas State (neutral)W1017.3
Mar 13, 2025vsTexas Tech (neutral)L1918.7
Mar 21, 2025vsMississippi State (neutral)W1918.1
Mar 23, 2025vsDuke (neutral)L1015.3
Nov 3, 2025vsUT Rio Grande ValleyW3224.1
Nov 9, 2025vsWashingtonW2919.2
Nov 14, 2025vsTarleton StateW2027.0
Nov 24, 2025vsCreighton (neutral)W1617.0
Nov 25, 2025vsSt. John's (neutral)L1720.0
Nov 26, 2025vsSan Diego State (neutral)W3021.6
Dec 2, 2025vsSacramento StateW3723.5
Dec 6, 2025@MemphisL2523.4
Dec 10, 2025vsNorfolk StateW2126.2
Dec 19, 2025vsAlcorn StateW2324.0
Dec 21, 2025vsSouthernW2625.7
Dec 29, 2025vsAArlington BaptistW26—
Jan 3, 2026@TCUL1817.9
Jan 7, 2026vsIowa StateL2917.4
Jan 10, 2026vsHoustonL3120.8
Jan 13, 2026@Oklahoma StateW1420.4
Jan 16, 2026@KansasL1017.7
Jan 20, 2026vsTexas TechL2020.1
Jan 24, 2026vsTCUL3618.6
Jan 28, 2026@CincinnatiL918.7
Jan 31, 2026@West VirginiaW518.1
Feb 4, 2026vsColoradoW2523.2
Feb 7, 2026@Iowa StateL916.8
Feb 10, 2026vsBYUL2519.5
Feb 14, 2026vsLouisville (neutral)L3019.8
Feb 17, 2026@Kansas StateL2121.5
Feb 21, 2026vsArizona StateW1322.2
Feb 24, 2026vsArizonaL2118.8
Feb 28, 2026@UCFW2220.8
Mar 4, 2026@HoustonL1220.2
Mar 7, 2026vsUtahW1520.4
Mar 10, 2026vsArizona State (neutral)L1721.2
Apr 1, 2026vsMinnesota (neutral)W816.8
Apr 4, 2026vsOklahoma (neutral)L2020.9
Nov 2, 2026vsNorthwestern StateW29NaN

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.9 in 2024-25, plus 0.9 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% in 2024-25, 80% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Arlington Baptist, Arlington Baptist have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.