Jake Hall’s points in the first half of the season and in the second half of the season
, ,
Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed guards, Jake Hall was 4.6 points under in the first half of the season and 9.3 points over in the second half of the season in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 30.0 and 31.0, a difference of 1.0. Expected was 12.9 points higher in the first half of the season than in the second half of the season.
One game in the first half of the season is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
in the first half of the season
−4.6
in the second half of the season
+9.3
010
plain
30.0
31.0
253035
The games
in the first half of the seasonin the second half of the season
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Utah Tech | W | 30 | 34.6 | |
| Nov 7, 2026 | vs Northern Arizona | W | 23 | 22.7 | |
| Nov 10, 2026 | vs Little Rock | W | 39 | 20.7 |
Read next
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed guards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 3.0 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for guards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s guards’ points in his games, 43%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 93% of the difference the model predicts.