Every team against expected in men's college basketball

Every team’s on ,

Northern Kentucky has the best points on offense against expected, +32.5 a game this season, first of 39.

Points against expected, this season, a game
Place	Team	offense	defense
1	Northern Kentucky	+32.5	+12.5
2	Saint Mary's	+26.5	−9.9
3	Illinois	+25.0	−21.0
4	New Mexico	+24.4	−17.9
5	Mississippi State	+23.0	+5.7
6	Oregon	+16.4	−9.6
7	Richmond	+15.3	−0.3
8	Central Michigan	+14.3	−4.8
9	Illinois State	+12.6	+5.3
10	Winthrop	+8.7	+24.2
11	South Dakota	+8.5	+30.0
12	Lipscomb	+6.1	+6.0
13	Wake Forest	+2.9	+1.0
14	Santa Clara	+1.6	+6.6
15	USC	+1.6	−5.2
16	Belmont	+0.6	−26.8
17	Southeast Missouri State	+0.5	+16.4
18	Loyola Marymount	+0.4	+18.1
19	Saint Joseph's	+0.2	−11.2
20	California	−1.5	+4.9
21	Bethune-Cookman	−1.5	−7.6
22	Clemson	−2.6	+9.1
23	Milwaukee	−2.9	+15.3
24	Butler	−4.7	+5.2
25	Towson	−5.8	+7.5

Method

Each number is a team’s games against what each opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
A place is among the teams with the sport’s floor of games, the best first: more on offense and less on defense, except where less is better on offense (turnovers, sacks taken, penalties) or more on defense (turnovers forced, sacks).