
St. Pauli
2025-26: 6–8–20 · Lost to VfL Wolfsburg 3–1, May 16
Against the closing odds
St. Pauli has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 1.00 goals a game under it. Over 2025-26 it was 0.31 a game under, 91st of 110.
last 4
−1.00
before
−0.14
-202
Apr 25, 2026 @ 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 −1.82
May 3, 2026 vs Mainz −0.93
May 9, 2026 @ RB Leipzig +0.72
May 16, 2026 vs VfL Wolfsburg −1.98
Lately
- Lost 7 of its last 10count
Mar 8, 2026 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 0
Mar 13, 2026 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach −2
Mar 22, 2026 vs SC Freiburg −1
Apr 5, 2026 @ 1. FC Union Berlin 0
Apr 11, 2026 vs Bayern Munich −5
Apr 17, 2026 vs FC Cologne 0
Apr 25, 2026 @ 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 −2
May 3, 2026 vs Mainz −1
May 9, 2026 @ RB Leipzig −1
May 16, 2026 vs VfL Wolfsburg −2
- Won 2 of its last 10 at homecount
Jan 23, 2026 vs Hamburg SV 0
Jan 27, 2026 vs RB Leipzig 0
Feb 7, 2026 vs VfB Stuttgart +1
Feb 22, 2026 vs Werder Bremen +1
Mar 8, 2026 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 0
Mar 22, 2026 vs SC Freiburg −1
Apr 11, 2026 vs Bayern Munich −5
Apr 17, 2026 vs FC Cologne 0
May 3, 2026 vs Mainz −1
May 16, 2026 vs VfL Wolfsburg −2
- Won 1 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Dec 21, 2025 @ Mainz 0
Jan 14, 2026 @ VfL Wolfsburg −1
Jan 17, 2026 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
Jan 31, 2026 @ FC Augsburg −1
Feb 14, 2026 @ Bayer Leverkusen −4
Feb 28, 2026 @ TSG Hoffenheim +1
Mar 13, 2026 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach −2
Apr 5, 2026 @ 1. FC Union Berlin 0
Apr 25, 2026 @ 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 −2
May 9, 2026 @ RB Leipzig −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.72 · 110th | +0.17 · 80th |
| Expected goals | −0.48 · 106th | +0.08 · 65th |
| Shots | −3.1 · 105th | −0.9 · 27th |
| Points | −0.62 · 99th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 110 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.