Juventus’ shots at home and away
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Through Juventus’ game on May 24, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Juventus was 2.6 shots over at home and 1.6 shots under away in 2025-26, 24 games against 24. The plain averages are 19.9 and 13.5, a difference of 6.3.
Juventus’ +4.3 at home vs away over expected ranks 3rd of the 103 teams with 5 games on each side in 2025-26 through May 24.
shots a game over expected
at home
+2.6
away
−1.6
-10010
A +4.3 difference in shots over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
19.9
13.5
102030
A +6.3 difference in shots at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | shots | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | vs Parma | W | 25 | 18.7 | |
| Aug 31, 2025 | @ Genoa | W | 13 | 15.4 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Internazionale | W | 12 | 14.8 | |
| Sep 16, 2025 | vs Borussia Dortmund | T | 19 | 15.2 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Hellas Verona | T | 10 | 16.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Atalanta | T | 24 | 16.5 | |
| Oct 1, 2025 | @ Villarreal | T | 13 | 14.1 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs AC Milan | T | 12 | 17.0 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ Como | L | 15 | 11.9 | |
| Oct 22, 2025 | @ Real Madrid | L | 13 | 13.3 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ Lazio | L | 14 | 15.8 | |
| Oct 29, 2025 | vs Udinese | W | 25 | 17.9 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Cremonese | W | 15 | 17.8 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | vs Sporting CP | T | 18 | 15.5 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Torino | T | 22 | 18.7 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Fiorentina | T | 17 | 16.0 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | @ Bodo/Glimt | W | 23 | 19.7 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Cagliari | W | 14 | 18.1 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ Napoli | L | 5 | 13.5 | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | vs Pafos | W | 25 | 21.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Bologna | W | 13 | 13.1 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs AS Roma | W | 13 | 15.3 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Pisa | W | 15 | 16.7 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Lecce | T | 25 | 17.4 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Sassuolo | W | 17 | 16.7 | |
| Jan 12, 2026 | vsCremonese | W | 18 | 20.3 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @Cagliari | L | 21 | 15.2 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | vs Benfica | W | 12 | 14.3 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | vsNapoli | W | 12 | 15.9 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @ AS Monaco | T | 5 | 15.7 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | @Parma | W | 15 | 16.6 | |
| Feb 8, 2026 | vsLazio | T | 34 | 17.6 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Internazionale | L | 10 | 12.3 | |
| Feb 17, 2026 | @ Galatasaray | L | 7 | 15.9 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsComo | L | 11 | 14.7 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | vsGalatasaray | W | 28 | 16.6 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @AS Roma | T | 13 | 12.7 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vsPisa | W | 25 | 18.9 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @Udinese | W | 22 | 15.4 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vsSassuolo | T | 18 | 19.3 | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | vsGenoa | W | 16 | 17.9 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @Atalanta | W | 7 | 14.5 | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vsBologna | W | 14 | 15.7 | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | @AC Milan | T | 10 | 14.5 | |
| May 3, 2026 | vsHellas Verona | T | 29 | 18.0 | |
| May 9, 2026 | @Lecce | W | 15 | 15.2 | |
| May 17, 2026 | vsFiorentina | L | 26 | 18.2 | |
| May 24, 2026 | @Torino | T | 17 | 16.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 88% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 10 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.