Burnley
2025-26: 4–10–24 · Drew with Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1, May 24
Against the closing odds
Burnley has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.48 goals a game. Over 2025-26 it was 0.08 a game over, 54th of 110.
last 4
+0.48
before
+0.00
-202
May 1, 2026 @ Leeds United −0.64
May 10, 2026 vs Aston Villa +1.19
May 18, 2026 @ Arsenal +1.48
May 24, 2026 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers −0.12
Lately
- Lost 7 of its last 10count
Mar 3, 2026 @ Everton −2
Mar 14, 2026 vs AFC Bournemouth 0
Mar 21, 2026 @ Fulham −2
Apr 11, 2026 vs Brighton & Hove Albion −2
Apr 19, 2026 @ Nottingham Forest −3
Apr 22, 2026 vs Manchester City −1- May 1, 2026 @ Leeds United −2
- May 10, 2026 vs Aston Villa 0
- May 18, 2026 @ Arsenal −1
- May 24, 2026 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 0
- Won 1 of its last 10 on the roadcount
- Jan 3, 2026 @ Brighton & Hove Albion −2
Jan 17, 2026 @ Liverpool 0
Feb 2, 2026 @ Sunderland −3
Feb 11, 2026 @ Crystal Palace +1
Feb 21, 2026 @ Chelsea 0- Mar 3, 2026 @ Everton −2
- Mar 21, 2026 @ Fulham −2
- Apr 19, 2026 @ Nottingham Forest −3
- May 1, 2026 @ Leeds United −2
- May 18, 2026 @ Arsenal −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.38 · 87th | +0.56 · 102nd |
| Expected goals | −0.46 · 105th | +0.56 · 106th |
| Shots | −3.1 · 104th | +4.1 · 106th |
| Points | −0.76 · 104th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 110 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.