Yann Sommer’s goals prevented at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed goalkeepers, Yann Sommer was 0.29 goals over at home and 1.10 goals over away in 2026-27, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 0.30 and 1.10, a difference of 0.81.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
goals prevented a game over expected
at home
+0.29
away
+1.10
01
plain
0.30
1.10
01
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | Prevented | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | vs Aston Villa | L | -0.84 | 0.00 | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ Internazionale | W | 1.10 | -0.00 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | vs Lens | W | 1.43 | -0.00 |
Method
- Expected goals are this site’s model of each shot’s chance, from where it was taken, whether it was a header, and how it was set up (a cross, a through ball, a headed pass, or no pass at all), fit on the 105,024 non-penalty shots of the five leagues and the Champions League since 2024-25 and within 3% of the goals scored in each season. Penalties are left out.
- Expected is what the opponent allowed goalkeepers in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.00 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for goalkeepers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s goalkeepers’ goals prevented in his games, 100%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about -1% of the difference the model predicts.