Victor Osimhen’s goals at home and away
, ,
Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Victor Osimhen was 0.33 goals under at home and 0.89 goals over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 0.00 and 1.00, a difference of 1.00.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
goals a game over expected
at home
−0.33
away
+0.89
00.5
plain
0.00
1.00
00.51
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | goals | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | vs Barcelona | L | 0 | 0.33 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | @ Lille | W | 1 | 0.11 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.09 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ goals in his games, 50%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 83% of the difference the model predicts.