Sasa Kalajdzic’s goals at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Sasa Kalajdzic was 0.23 goals under at home and 0.52 goals over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.50, a difference of 0.50.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
goals a game over expected
at home
−0.23
away
+0.52
00.51
plain
0.00
0.50
00.51
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | goals | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | @ AEK Athens | L | 0 | -0.02 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs Liverpool | L | 0 | 0.23 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | @ Sporting CP | W | 1 | -0.02 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.09 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ goals in his games, 33%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 83% of the difference the model predicts.