Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Ivan Perisic’s goals at home and away

, ,

Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Ivan Perisic was 0.00 goals over at home and 0.00 goals over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.00, a difference of 0.00. Both second-half games were away.

One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

goals a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Ivan Perisic’s games, 2026-27, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultgoalsExpected
Sep 10, 2026vsShakhtar DonetskT00.00
Oct 13, 2026@RB LeipzigL00.00
Oct 20, 2026@FC PortoW00.00

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.09 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ goals in his games, 0%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 83% of the difference the model predicts.