Duván Zapata’s goals at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Duván Zapata was 0.00 goals over at home and 0.00 goals over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 3. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.00, a difference of 0.00. Both second-half games were away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
goals a game over expected
at home
0.00
away
0.00
0
plain
0.00
0.00
0
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | goals | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | @ Sassuolo | L | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | vs AS Roma | L | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | @ Parma | W | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Frosinone | L | 0 | 0.00 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.09 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ goals in his games, 0%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 83% of the difference the model predicts.