Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

LASK Linz @ Sporting CP

Wed, Oct 21, 2026

LASK Linz 3, Sporting CP 2

LASK Linz at Sporting CP: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLASK Linz1 gameSporting CP1 game
Goals+1.83−0.27
Goals conceded−0.29+1.60
Expected goals−0.76+0.15
Expected goals conceded+0.99−0.27
Shots−3.3−3.5
Shots conceded+4.4−0.5
Points+2.40−2.28

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Sporting CP

LASK Linz

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

If you squint

  • At home, Sporting CP’s expected goal difference were 2.47 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.45 over expected.
  • On the road, LASK Linz’s goals were 4.34 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.76 over expected.

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 20, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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