Putting Up Numbers· college football

Wyoming’s total yards with Samuel Harris and without Samuel Harris

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Wyoming was 37.2 yards under with Samuel Harris and 152.3 yards over without Samuel Harris in 2026, 5 games against 1. The plain averages are 302.7 and 513.0, a difference of 210.3. All 4 away games were with Samuel Harris. Both night games were with Samuel Harris. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Samuel Harris.

Samuel Harris, running back: 333 rushing yards, 68 carries and 13 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Samuel Harris is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Samuel Harriswithout Samuel Harris
Wyoming’s games, 2026, each marked with Samuel Harris or without Samuel Harris
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Colorado StateL273482.3
Sep 12, 2026vsNorthern ColoradoW307—
Sep 19, 2026@Central MichiganL344345.9
Sep 26, 2026vsHawaiiW387343.8
Oct 3, 2026@NNorth Dakota StateL162—
Oct 9, 2026@San Jose StateW345347.7
Oct 17, 2026vsNorthern IllinoisW513360.7
Oct 23, 2026vsAir ForceW301316.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Northern Colorado, North Dakota State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.