Putting Up Numbers· college football

Wyoming’s penalty yards with Samuel Harris and without Samuel Harris

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Wyoming was 8.0 yards under with Samuel Harris and 29.7 yards under without Samuel Harris in 2026, 5 games against 1. The plain averages are 47.4 and 23.0, a difference of 24.4. All 4 away games were with Samuel Harris. Both night games were with Samuel Harris. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Samuel Harris.

Samuel Harris, running back: 333 rushing yards, 68 carries and 13 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Samuel Harris is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Samuel Harriswithout Samuel Harris
Wyoming’s games, 2026, each marked with Samuel Harris or without Samuel Harris
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Colorado StateL4748.9
Sep 12, 2026vsNorthern ColoradoW60—
Sep 19, 2026@Central MichiganL4051.5
Sep 26, 2026vsHawaiiW4757.6
Oct 3, 2026@NNorth Dakota StateL53—
Oct 9, 2026@San Jose StateW6053.0
Oct 17, 2026vsNorthern IllinoisW2352.7
Oct 23, 2026vsAir ForceW2547.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Northern Colorado, North Dakota State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.