Wyoming’s carries with Samuel Harris and without Samuel Harris
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Wyoming was 0.5 carries under with Samuel Harris and 3.6 carries over without Samuel Harris in 2026, 5 games against 1. The plain averages are 34.6 and 39.0, a difference of 4.4. All 4 away games were with Samuel Harris. Both night games were with Samuel Harris. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Samuel Harris.
Samuel Harris, running back: 333 rushing yards, 68 carries and 13 receptions in 7 games this season, 28% of Wyoming’s carries in those games.
One game without Samuel Harris is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Samuel Harris
−0.5
without Samuel Harris
+3.6
-10010
plain
34.6
39.0
304050
The games
with Samuel Harriswithout Samuel Harris
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Colorado State | L | 34 | 38.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Northern Colorado | W | 31 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Central Michigan | L | 27 | 39.7 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Hawaii | W | 38 | 35.9 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @NNorth Dakota State | L | 35 | — | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | @ San Jose State | W | 53 | 34.3 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 39 | 35.4 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | vs Air Force | W | 24 | 29.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Northern Colorado, North Dakota State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.