Putting Up Numbers· college football

Washington’s points with Xe'ree Alexander and without Xe'ree Alexander

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Washington was 3.2 points under with Xe'ree Alexander and 12.8 points over without Xe'ree Alexander in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 24.9 and 38.0, a difference of 13.1. All 5 home games were with Xe'ree Alexander. Both night games were with Xe'ree Alexander. Both ranked opponents were with Xe'ree Alexander.

Xe'ree Alexander, defender: 7 games this season.

One game without Xe'ree Alexander is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points a game over expected

The games

with Xe'ree Alexanderwithout Xe'ree Alexander
Washington’s games, 2026, each marked with Xe'ree Alexander or without Xe'ree Alexander
SideDateGameResultpointsExpected
Sep 6, 2026vsWashington StateW2431.4
Sep 12, 2026vsUtah StateW1623.3
Sep 19, 2026vsEEastern WashingtonW48—
Sep 26, 2026vsMinnesotaL2425.3
Oct 3, 2026@USCL2124.8
Oct 9, 2026vsIowaL2418.2
Oct 16, 2026@PurdueW3825.2
Oct 31, 2026@NebraskaW1722.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Eastern Washington has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.