Washington’s points of margin with Xe'ree Alexander and without Xe'ree Alexander
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Washington was 2.8 points under with Xe'ree Alexander and 19.3 points over without Xe'ree Alexander in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 4.4 and 12.0, a difference of 7.6. Expected was 9.9 points higher with Xe'ree Alexander than without Xe'ree Alexander. All 5 home games were with Xe'ree Alexander. Both night games were with Xe'ree Alexander. Both ranked opponents were with Xe'ree Alexander.
Xe'ree Alexander, defender: 7 games this season.
One game without Xe'ree Alexander is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Xe'ree Alexander
−2.8
without Xe'ree Alexander
+19.3
-1001020
plain
4.4
12.0
020
The games
with Xe'ree Alexanderwithout Xe'ree Alexander
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | vs Washington State | W | 14 | 17.3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Utah State | W | 2 | 12.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsEEastern Washington | W | 32 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Minnesota | L | -3 | 9.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ USC | L | -4 | -9.1 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs Iowa | L | -17 | 0.6 | |
| Oct 16, 2026 | @ Purdue | W | 12 | -7.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Nebraska | W | 7 | -14.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Eastern Washington has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.