Washington’s points of margin with CJ Christian and since CJ Christian’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Washington was 17.3 points under with CJ Christian and 2.2 points over since CJ Christian’s last game over its last 25 games, 1 game against 18. The plain averages are 17.0 and 11.3, a difference of 5.7. Expected was 29.0 points higher with CJ Christian than since CJ Christian’s last game. All 8 away games were since CJ Christian’s last game. All 15 day games were since CJ Christian’s last game. All 5 ranked opponents were since CJ Christian’s last game.
CJ Christian, defender: 0 of those 25 games.
One game with CJ Christian is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with CJ Christian
−17.3
since CJ Christian’s last game
+2.2
-20020
plain
17.0
11.3
0204060
The games
with CJ Christiansince CJ Christian’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Penn State | L | -29 | -14.8 | |
| Nov 15, 2024 | vs UCLA | W | 12 | 3.9 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Oregon | L | -28 | -15.3 | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | vs Louisville (neutral) | L | -1 | -9.2 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Colorado State | W | 17 | 34.3 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsUUC-Davis | W | 60 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Washington State | W | 35 | 4.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Ohio State | L | -18 | -7.2 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ Maryland | W | 4 | 15.7 | |
| Oct 10, 2025 | vs Rutgers | W | 19 | 16.9 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Michigan | L | -17 | 3.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Illinois | W | 17 | 5.9 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Wisconsin | L | -3 | 12.4 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Purdue | W | 36 | 18.5 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @UCLA | W | 34 | 11.8 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsOregon | L | -12 | -6.1 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Boise State (neutral) | W | 28 | 10.8 | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | vsWashington State | W | 14 | 17.3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Utah State | W | 2 | 12.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsEEastern Washington | W | 32 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Minnesota | L | -3 | 9.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ USC | L | -4 | -9.1 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs Iowa | L | -17 | 0.6 | |
| Oct 16, 2026 | @Purdue | W | 12 | -7.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Nebraska | W | 7 | -14.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.1 in 2025, plus 3.7 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 87% in 2025, 79% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- UC-Davis, Eastern Washington have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 21 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 4 games in 2024 are neither with CJ Christian nor since CJ Christian’s last game: CJ Christian had no game for the team that season, and sit out.