Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah’s total yards with Steve Chavez-Soto and without Steve Chavez-Soto

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah was 33.3 yards over with Steve Chavez-Soto and 11.7 yards over without Steve Chavez-Soto over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 499.1 and 409.0, a difference of 90.1. All 5 home games were with Steve Chavez-Soto. All 4 day games were with Steve Chavez-Soto. All 3 nonconference games were with Steve Chavez-Soto.

Steve Chavez-Soto, running back: 65 rushing yards, 14 carries and 2 receptions in 4 of those 25 games.

One game without Steve Chavez-Soto is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Steve Chavez-Sotowithout Steve Chavez-Soto
Utah’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Steve Chavez-Soto or without Steve Chavez-Soto
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Nov 9, 2024vsBYUL259278.3
Nov 16, 2024@ColoradoL272280.1
Nov 23, 2024vsIowa StateL224310.5
Nov 29, 2024@UCFW198322.4
Aug 30, 2025@UCLAW493439.1
Sep 6, 2025vsCCal PolyW519—
Sep 13, 2025@WyomingW541460.7
Sep 20, 2025vsTexas TechL263396.9
Sep 27, 2025@West VirginiaW532489.4
Oct 11, 2025vsArizona StateW415436.9
Oct 18, 2025@BYUL470418.7
Oct 25, 2025vsColoradoW588496.0
Nov 1, 2025vsCincinnatiW480517.9
Nov 15, 2025@BaylorW485473.5
Nov 22, 2025vsKansas StateW553467.4
Nov 28, 2025@KansasW424495.4
Dec 31, 2025vsNebraska (neutral)W535426.4
Sep 3, 2026vsIdahoW634—
Sep 12, 2026vsArkansasW447464.7
Sep 19, 2026vsUtah StateW482410.6
Sep 26, 2026@Iowa StateW413459.7
Oct 10, 2026vsKansasW548408.7
Oct 17, 2026@ColoradoW409397.3
Oct 24, 2026vsHoustonW436429.2
Oct 31, 2026@CincinnatiW534487.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Idaho has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Steve Chavez-Soto nor without Steve Chavez-Soto: Steve Chavez-Soto had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.