Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah’s rushing yards with Steve Chavez-Soto and without Steve Chavez-Soto

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah was 32.5 yards over with Steve Chavez-Soto and 38.4 yards under without Steve Chavez-Soto in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 243.4 and 131.0, a difference of 112.4. All 5 home games were with Steve Chavez-Soto. All 4 day games were with Steve Chavez-Soto. All 3 nonconference games were with Steve Chavez-Soto.

Steve Chavez-Soto, running back: 65 rushing yards, 14 carries and 2 receptions in 4 games this season, 7% of Utah’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Steve Chavez-Soto is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Steve Chavez-Sotowithout Steve Chavez-Soto
Utah’s games, 2026, each marked with Steve Chavez-Soto or without Steve Chavez-Soto
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 3, 2026vsIdahoW365—
Sep 12, 2026vsArkansasW146223.0
Sep 19, 2026vsUtah StateW196178.6
Sep 26, 2026@Iowa StateW207199.1
Oct 10, 2026vsKansasW290212.2
Oct 17, 2026@ColoradoW131169.4
Oct 24, 2026vsHoustonW232156.0
Oct 31, 2026@CincinnatiW268174.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Idaho has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.