Utah’s points allowed with Steve Chavez-Soto and without Steve Chavez-Soto
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah was 5.9 points under with Steve Chavez-Soto and 10.8 points over without Steve Chavez-Soto in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 14.7 and 24.0, a difference of 9.3. All 5 home games were with Steve Chavez-Soto. All 4 day games were with Steve Chavez-Soto. All 3 nonconference games were with Steve Chavez-Soto.
Steve Chavez-Soto, running back: 65 rushing yards, 14 carries and 2 receptions in 4 games this season.
One game without Steve Chavez-Soto is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Steve Chavez-Soto
−5.9
without Steve Chavez-Soto
+10.8
-10010
plain
14.7
24.0
01020
The games
with Steve Chavez-Sotowithout Steve Chavez-Soto
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vs Idaho | W | 14 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Arkansas | W | 10 | 19.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Utah State | W | 0 | 11.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Iowa State | W | 17 | 25.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Kansas | W | 24 | 20.3 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Colorado | W | 24 | 13.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Houston | W | 13 | 24.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Cincinnati | W | 25 | 22.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Idaho has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.