USC’s rushing yards with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt and since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, USC was 9.9 yards under with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt and 0.5 yards over since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game in 2026, 8 games against 1. The plain averages are 133.0 and 117.0, a difference of 16.0. Expected was 26.5 yards higher with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt than since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game. All 3 away games were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt. All 4 night games were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt. All 7 unranked opponents were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt.
Kayden Dixon-Wyatt, receiver: 443 receiving yards, 32 receptions and 4 receiving touchdowns in 8 games this season.
One game since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt
−9.9
since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
+0.5
-1000
plain
133.0
117.0
0100200
The games
with Kayden Dixon-Wyattsince Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs San Jose State | W | 166 | 161.0 | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs Fresno State | W | 141 | 156.0 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Louisiana | W | 215 | 136.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Rutgers | W | 189 | 168.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Oregon | L | 121 | 122.4 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Washington | W | 117 | 146.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Penn State | W | 132 | 134.9 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | -17 | 117.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Ohio State | W | 117 | 116.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.