USC’s points allowed with Waymond Jordan and without Waymond Jordan
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, USC was 0.3 points under with Waymond Jordan and 3.8 points under without Waymond Jordan in 2026, 8 games against 1. The plain averages are 24.3 and 24.0, a difference of 0.3. Expected was 3.3 points lower with Waymond Jordan than without Waymond Jordan. All 6 home games were with Waymond Jordan. All 5 day games were with Waymond Jordan. Both ranked opponents were with Waymond Jordan.
Waymond Jordan, running back: 335 rushing yards, 75 carries and 7 receptions in 8 games this season.
One game without Waymond Jordan is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Waymond Jordan
−0.3
without Waymond Jordan
−3.8
-200
plain
24.3
24.0
02040
The games
with Waymond Jordanwithout Waymond Jordan
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs San Jose State | W | 26 | 14.3 | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs Fresno State | W | 0 | 26.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Louisiana | W | 30 | 20.3 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Rutgers | W | 35 | 23.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Oregon | L | 41 | 22.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Washington | W | 21 | 24.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Penn State | W | 23 | 29.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | 24 | 27.8 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Ohio State | W | 18 | 35.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.