USC’s points allowed with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt and since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, USC was 1.4 points over with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt and 17.5 points under since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game over its last 25 games, 8 games against 1. The plain averages are 25.0 and 18.0, a difference of 7.0. Expected was 12.0 points lower with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt than since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game. All 3 away games were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt. All 4 night games were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt. All 7 unranked opponents were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt.
Kayden Dixon-Wyatt, receiver: 443 receiving yards, 32 receptions and 4 receiving touchdowns in 8 of those 25 games.
One game since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt
+1.4
since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
−17.5
-200
plain
25.0
18.0
02040
The games
with Kayden Dixon-Wyattsince Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ UCLA | W | 13 | 22.6 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Notre Dame | L | 49 | 29.4 | |
| Dec 27, 2024 | vs Texas A&M (neutral) | W | 31 | 26.3 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Missouri State | W | 13 | 14.1 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Georgia Southern | W | 20 | 15.5 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Purdue | W | 17 | 20.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Michigan State | W | 31 | 19.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Illinois | L | 34 | 26.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Michigan | W | 13 | 27.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @Notre Dame | L | 34 | 36.3 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Nebraska | W | 17 | 25.9 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vs Northwestern | W | 17 | 18.5 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Iowa | W | 21 | 25.3 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Oregon | L | 42 | 34.0 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsUCLA | W | 10 | 19.5 | |
| Dec 30, 2025 | vs TCU (neutral) | L | 30 | 24.6 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs San Jose State | W | 26 | 14.3 | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs Fresno State | W | 0 | 26.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Louisiana | W | 30 | 20.4 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Rutgers | W | 35 | 23.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsOregon | L | 41 | 22.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Washington | W | 21 | 24.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Penn State | W | 23 | 29.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | 24 | 27.7 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Ohio State | W | 18 | 35.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.8 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 16 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt nor since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game: Kayden Dixon-Wyatt had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.