Putting Up Numbers· college football

USC’s penalty yards with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt and since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, USC was 0.4 yards under with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt and 13.4 yards under since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game in 2026, 8 games against 1. The plain averages are 55.1 and 42.0, a difference of 13.1. All 3 away games were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt. All 4 night games were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt. All 7 unranked opponents were with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt.

Kayden Dixon-Wyatt, receiver: 443 receiving yards, 32 receptions and 4 receiving touchdowns in 8 games this season.

One game since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Kayden Dixon-Wyattsince Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
USC’s games, 2026, each marked with Kayden Dixon-Wyatt or since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsSan Jose StateW3461.1
Sep 4, 2026vsFresno StateW4455.8
Sep 12, 2026vsLouisianaW7858.5
Sep 19, 2026@RutgersW7152.1
Sep 26, 2026vsOregonL4451.4
Oct 3, 2026vsWashingtonW9455.2
Oct 10, 2026@Penn StateW2558.5
Oct 24, 2026@WisconsinL5151.8
Oct 31, 2026vsOhio StateW4255.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.