Tulsa’s yards a carry with Baylor Hayes and without Baylor Hayes
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Tulsa averaged 4.52 yards a carry with Baylor Hayes and 4.55 without Baylor Hayes over its last 25 games, 15 games against 5, a difference of 0.03. Both opponents outside the major colleges were without Baylor Hayes. Both games after a bye were with Baylor Hayes.
Baylor Hayes, quarterback: 3,501 passing yards, 508 pass attempts and 307 completions in 16 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Baylor Hayes
4.52
without Baylor Hayes
4.55
46
A −0.03 difference in yards a carry with Baylor Hayes vs without Baylor Hayes is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Baylor Hayeswithout Baylor Hayes
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | vs UTSA | W | 1.91 | — | |
| Nov 2, 2024 | @ UAB | L | 3.82 | — | |
| Nov 14, 2024 | vs East Carolina | L | 2.94 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ South Florida | L | 4.74 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Florida Atlantic | L | 2.29 | — | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsAAbilene Christian | W | 6.23 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ New Mexico State | L | 3.81 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Navy | L | 4.24 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2025 | @ Oklahoma State | W | 4.77 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Tulane | L | 2.51 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ Memphis | L | 2.96 | — | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @East Carolina | L | 3.50 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Temple | L | 3.28 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @Florida Atlantic | L | 3.70 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Oregon State | W | 6.58 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Army | W | 6.05 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsUAB | L | 4.71 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsOklahoma State | W | 4.25 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Sam Houston | W | 6.59 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsEEast Texas A&M | W | 6.90 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Arkansas | L | 2.83 | — | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | vs North Texas | L | 3.81 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @Navy | L | 3.50 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Rice | W | 4.55 | — | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | vsArmy | L | 5.69 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
- 5 games in 2024 are neither with Baylor Hayes nor without Baylor Hayes: Baylor Hayes had no game for the team that season, and sit out.