Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas Tech’s total yards with Will Hammond and since Will Hammond’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Texas Tech was 1.5 yards over with Will Hammond and 93.1 yards over since Will Hammond’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 419.7 and 476.0, a difference of 56.3. All 3 away games were with Will Hammond. All 6 unranked opponents were with Will Hammond. All 3 nonconference games were with Will Hammond.

Will Hammond, quarterback: 1,561 passing yards, 205 pass attempts and 139 completions in 7 games this season.

One game since Will Hammond’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Will Hammondsince Will Hammond’s last game
Texas Tech’s games, 2026, each marked with Will Hammond or since Will Hammond’s last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsAAbilene ChristianW471—
Sep 12, 2026@Oregon StateW352426.3
Sep 18, 2026vsHoustonW428384.3
Sep 26, 2026vsSam HoustonW470425.2
Oct 3, 2026@ColoradoW315374.5
Oct 17, 2026vsArizona StateW502372.0
Oct 24, 2026@CincinnatiL400475.9
Oct 31, 2026vsArizonaW476382.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Abilene Christian has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.