Texas Tech’s rushing yards with Malcolm Simmons and since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Texas Tech was 1.3 yards under with Malcolm Simmons and 172.9 yards over since Malcolm Simmons’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 190.3 and 332.0, a difference of 141.7. All 3 away games were with Malcolm Simmons. All 6 unranked opponents were with Malcolm Simmons. All 3 nonconference games were with Malcolm Simmons.
Malcolm Simmons, receiver: 91 receiving yards, 2 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 5 of those 25 games, 2% of Texas Tech’s rushing yards in those games.
One game since Malcolm Simmons’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Malcolm Simmons
−1.3
since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
+172.9
0100
plain
190.3
332.0
200250300
The games
with Malcolm Simmonssince Malcolm Simmons’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Oklahoma State | W | 140 | 219.2 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs West Virginia | W | 209 | 132.8 | |
| Dec 27, 2024 | vs Arkansas (neutral) | L | 217 | 141.5 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsAArkansas-Pine Bluff | W | 296 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Kent State | W | 233 | 229.9 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Oregon State | W | 123 | 209.5 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Utah | W | 173 | 200.6 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ Houston | W | 207 | 155.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Kansas | W | 372 | 159.5 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Arizona State | L | 109 | 142.0 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vsOklahoma State | W | 92 | 192.9 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Kansas State | W | 189 | 170.8 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs BYU | W | 151 | 152.6 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs UCF | W | 207 | 167.2 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @West Virginia | W | 193 | 152.2 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsBYU (neutral) | W | 162 | 145.9 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vs Oregon (neutral) | L | 78 | 151.1 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsAAbilene Christian | W | 173 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @Oregon State | W | 155 | 212.1 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | vsHouston | W | 171 | 172.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Sam Houston | W | 219 | 252.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Colorado | W | 181 | 160.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsArizona State | W | 260 | 169.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Cincinnati | L | 173 | 199.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Arizona | W | 332 | 159.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Abilene Christian has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Malcolm Simmons nor since Malcolm Simmons’ last game: Malcolm Simmons had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.