Texas Tech’s rushing yards with Malcolm Simmons and since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Texas Tech was 1.3 yards under with Malcolm Simmons and 172.9 yards over since Malcolm Simmons’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 190.3 and 332.0, a difference of 141.7. All 3 away games were with Malcolm Simmons. All 6 unranked opponents were with Malcolm Simmons. All 3 nonconference games were with Malcolm Simmons.
Malcolm Simmons, receiver: 91 receiving yards, 2 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 5 games this season, 2% of Texas Tech’s rushing yards in those games.
One game since Malcolm Simmons’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Malcolm Simmons
−1.3
since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
+172.9
0100
plain
190.3
332.0
200250300
The games
with Malcolm Simmonssince Malcolm Simmons’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsAAbilene Christian | W | 173 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Oregon State | W | 155 | 212.1 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | vs Houston | W | 171 | 172.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Sam Houston | W | 219 | 252.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Colorado | W | 181 | 160.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Arizona State | W | 260 | 169.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Cincinnati | L | 173 | 199.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Arizona | W | 332 | 159.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Abilene Christian has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.