Texas Tech’s points of margin with Malcolm Simmons and since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Texas Tech was 2.2 points over with Malcolm Simmons and 6.8 points over since Malcolm Simmons’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 15.4 and 8.0, a difference of 7.4. Expected was 10.8 points higher with Malcolm Simmons than since Malcolm Simmons’ last game. All 3 away games were with Malcolm Simmons. All 6 unranked opponents were with Malcolm Simmons. All 3 nonconference games were with Malcolm Simmons.
Malcolm Simmons, receiver: 91 receiving yards, 2 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 5 games this season.
One game since Malcolm Simmons’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Malcolm Simmons
+2.2
since Malcolm Simmons’ last game
+6.8
-200
plain
15.4
8.0
020
The games
with Malcolm Simmonssince Malcolm Simmons’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsAAbilene Christian | W | 23 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Oregon State | W | 11 | -0.1 | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | vs Houston | W | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Sam Houston | W | 35 | 34.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Colorado | W | 22 | 8.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Arizona State | W | 28 | 12.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Cincinnati | L | -13 | 14.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Arizona | W | 8 | 1.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Abilene Christian has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.